Middle Orient

Iran Update, October 30, 2024

Qassem hinted at a possible shift in Hezbollah policy that would allow a Lebanon ceasefire to be separated from Israeli operations in the Gaza Strip. The new secretary general was less absolute regarding a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip than Nasrallah had been before his death. Nasrallah had previously said …

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The military operation in Jabalia and the plans for the day after the war

Israel is seeking to test a plan that includes a new engineering of society in the Gaza Strip, by creating “humanitarian bubbles” and contracting private security companies to manage them, in a way that threatens to cause structural changes in the geography and demographics of the Strip. The northernmost areas …

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Captured Documents Show Al Jazeera Ties to Hamas, Islamic Jihad

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) published captured documents on October 23 indicating that six Al Jazeera journalists in Gaza are members of either Hamas or Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ). The IDF has released other documents tying Al Jazeera correspondents to terrorist organizations, but the latest documents provide the most detailed …

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Iran Update, October 29, 2024

The precise nature of the recent Israeli strikes into Iran has partially obscured the serious damage these strikes inflicted on critical Iranian defense and military infrastructure. These strikes could disrupt Iranian ballistic missile production and leave Iran more vulnerable to future strikes, however. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted precise …

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Post-Sinwar: Hamas at a Crossroads

The assassination of Sinwar places Hamas at a crossroads at various organizational, political and military levels, especially in the context of the course of the war in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon, and the movement’s role on the day after the war, which may affect its alliances and relations internally …

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AN IRANIAN FINGERPRINT? Tracing Type 56-1 assault rifles in Somalia

The Yemeni civil war erupted in late 2014 when the Houthi insurgent movement captured large swathes of the country, including the capital of Sana’a. By the following year, Yemen had become a key battleground in the Iran–Saudi proxy conflict. While Saudi Arabia and its allies waged war in support ofYemen’s …

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IRAN’S CRIMINALS TATECRAFT – HOW TEHRAN WEAPONIZES ILLICIT MARKETS

Over the past decade, Iran’s regime has been involved in collaborations with criminal actors across the world, seeking to assassinate critics and adversaries, procure materials to advance its nuclear programme, circumvent international sanctions and money-laundering controls, and fund armed groups and terrorist organizations that have carried out horrific attacks. JR-Malley-Irans-critical-statecraft-How-Tehran-weaponizes-illicit-markets-GI-TOC-October-2024Download

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Hezbollah’s Military Tactics In The Post-Nasrallah Era – Analysis

The Iran-led “Axis of Resistance,” composed of a coalition of armed and political groups across Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq, has been striving to play a significant role over the past year amid the ongoing conflict in Gaza. The military operations, tactics, and strategies of Hezbollah, a key player in …

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Spotlight on theIsrael-Palestinian Conflict October 14 – 29 , 2024

Hamas after Yahya al-Sinwar: According to reports, Hamas would not elect a new head toits political bureau until March 2025 and would rely on the leadership of a committeecomposed of five senior members. The southern front: IDF forces continued operations in the northern Gaza Strip, focusing onthe Jabalia refugee camp …

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Christian leader sees Lebanon’s moment to defang Hezbollah

Civil war veteran Samir Geagea hopes the Shiite militia will be pressed into a position where it has no choice but to disarm. There’s no love lost between Lebanese Christian leader Samir Geagea and Hezbollah. Geagea’s escaped his fair share of probable assassination attempts by the Shiite militant group over …

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