The sudden death of Ebrahim Raisi, the Iranian regime’s president, in a suspicious helicopter crash will disrupt the constructed succession plan for the Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. This disruption will not necessarily favor Khamenei’s son Mojtaba Khamenei, as many might assume, but will instead create opportunities for …
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Russia’s Post-War Dilemmas In Ukraine – OpEd
In regard of the war in Ukraine, Russia’s main challenge going forward is to find the equilibrium between strategic overestimation and underestimation. “We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten,” as Bill Gates put …
Read More »Who will win a post-heroic war? Neither side is prepared to fight
Neither the West not its enemies are prepared to fight. Some 30 years ago, I coined the phrase “post-heroic warfare” to acknowledge a new phenomenon: the very sharp reduction in the tolerance of war casualties. My starting point was President Clinton’s 1993 decision to abandon Somalia after 18 American soldiers …
Read More »EXCLUSIVE: First Translation of Khameini’s New Book on the Destruction of America, Israel
As Jonathan Tobin writes at Commentary: The Khamenei Palestine book is important not in and of itself but because the regime’s obsession with Israel is a key to its foreign policy. Iran constitutes a grave threat to Neighboring Arab countries that are at least as angry about the president’s embrace …
Read More »State Department Sanctions Iran-Backed Iraqi Militia
Latest Developments The State Department designated an Iran-backed Iraqi militia — Harakat Ansar Allah al-Awfiya (HAAA) — on June 17 as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist group. State also designated HAAA’s secretary general, Haydar Muzhir Ma’lak al-Sa’idi. The designees are part of the Islamic Resistance of Iraq (IRI), an umbrella …
Read More »Fear Factor
How to Know When You’re in a Security Dilemma Great-power competition is back. With the post–Cold War unipolar moment over, the United States and China now jostle over trade and technology, compete in a conventional and nuclear arms race, and seek to counter the other in various hot spots. So …
Read More »The Death of Petrodollar
The Deep State should have been alert five years ago when Candidate Joe Biden announced that he, if elected as president, was determined to make the Saudi rulers “pay the price, and make them in fact the pariah that they are.” Biden was blunt to the point of being brutal …
Read More »Les États-Unis sont en guerre contre la Russie depuis plus de 100 ans
Cet article résume brièvement l’histoire des guerres menées par les États-Unis contre la Russie et l’Union soviétique. Il résume également le projet américain visant à rayer l’Union soviétique de la carte : 204 bombes atomiques, 66 villes. (15 septembre 1945). Bref historique. Chronologie 1918-1920 : Les premières forces américaines et …
Read More »L’intégration eurasiatique comme réponse aux acteurs non invités en Eurasie
Le Congrès international de Kazan sur l’intégration eurasiatique se positionne comme une plateforme importante pour le grand espace que représente l’Eurasie et les processus d’interaction et d’intégration qui s’y déroulent, mais également constitue un rappel aux acteurs néfastes qui n’y sont pas les bienvenus. Tous ces aspects renforcent d’une manière …
Read More »Le suicide d’Israël
La décadence d’Israël génèrera lassitude et indifférence. Il ne lui restera que l’escalade de la sauvagerie, la torture et la violence assassine contre des civils désarmés Lorsqu’Israël aura réussi à décimer Gaza – Israël parle de mois de guerre se prolongeant au moins jusqu’à la fin de l’année – il …
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