At least one thing is now obvious in the Middle East: The Biden administration has failed abjectly in its objectives there, leaving the region in dangerous disarray. Its primary foreign policy goal has been to rally its regional partners to cooperate with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s extremist government. Simultaneously, …
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September, 2024
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30 September
Iran Update, September 28, 2024
2 days agoIran Update, September 28, 2024Johanna Moore, Siddhant Kishore, Alexandra Braverman, Katherine Wells, Annika Ganzeveld and Nicholas CarlTIPxMake a text selection to add commentsInformation Cutoff: 2:00pm ET The Iran Update provides insights into Iranian and Iranian-sponsored activities abroad that undermine regional stability and threaten US forces and interests. It …
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30 September
The Russo-Ukrainian War And Mackinder’s Heartland Thesis – Analysis
In 1904, Sir Halford J. Mackinder, one of the founders of classical geopolitics, conceptually divided the world into three parts: the pivot area of northeastern and central Eurasia, the surrounding area of an inner crescent of remaining Eurasian and North African territories, and an outer crescent of all the remaining …
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30 September
Islamist Radicalism Continues To Spread From Eastern North Caucasus Into Bi-National Republics In The Middle – OpEd
Since 1991, most of the Islamist violence in the North Caucasus has occurred in the three republics in the eastern part of that region, Dagestan, Ingushetia and Chechnya, while the surviving bi-national republics in the middle and the national republics in the west have remained relatively quiet. But since last …
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30 September
Erdogan’s private military company looks to raise an Islamist army
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan seeks a role for Turkey in Gaza’s post-war reconstruction if not governance, and the Biden administration appears ready to accede to this request. Others also see Turkish involvement after the conflict as a fait accompli. “It’s tough to imagine any long-term solution to the Gaza …
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30 September
When it comes to Iran’s rulers, there can be no dialogue
Ruling mullahs duly rolled into New York City to attend the U.N. General Assembly, led by Iran’s new “moderate” president, Masoud Pezeshkian. Two years have passed since the murder of Jina (“Mahsa”) Amini, a young Kurdish-Iranian woman, at the hands of the Islamic Republic of Iran’s morality police. Amini was …
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30 September
Puzzling Pieces: OSINT and War Crime Accountability in Ukraine
Following Ukraine’s signature of the Rome Statute, paving the way towards full ICC membership, it is more important than ever to ensure that open source intelligence can successfully enable accountability for Russian war crimes. Kyiv’s signature of the statute on 21 August came several weeks after Russia’s 8 July attack …
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30 September
Israel Gambles on All-Out Confrontation with Hezbollah
Israel’s pager and walkie-talkie attacks on Hezbollah, which have been followed by an ongoing air campaign, signal a new phase in the conflict amid heightened regional tensions. The sophisticated remote pager and walkie-talkie attacks on Hezbollah on 17–18 September were followed by an intensive Israeli air campaign against the militant …
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30 September
Hezbollah chief Nasrallah’s fatal underestimation of Israel
Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah has miscalculated, and in the process dragged Lebanon into a bloodbath that the already impoverished, isolated, and desperate Lebanese can ill afford. The world is trying to help him save face, although first he must agree to many concessions before Israel lets him off the hook. …
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30 September
Why massacring civilians is Israel’s deliberate strategy
All of humanity is less secure after a year of genocide against the Palestinian people in Gaza and the West Bank and as Israel now unleashes its wrath on Lebanon. “The region is on the brink of a catastrophe,” the spokesperson for the UN secretary-general warned last Friday after Israel …
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