Key Takeaways: Iran is finalizing a response to U.S. comments on its New York proposal, with both sides signaling openness to diplomacy, yet remaining divided over the sequence of steps: Tehran seeks blockade relief, asset releases, and an end to fighting before reopening Hormuz, while Washington wants verifiable nuclear progress …
Read More »From Proxy War To Direct Deterrence: Is Iran Redefining Its Regional Strategy? – Analysis
Key Takeaways: Iran’s traditional “forward defense” through affiliated groups such as Hezbollah, Iraqi militias, the Houthis, and Palestinian militants has suffered setbacks since October 2023, including major losses for Hezbollah and Hamas and the loss of the Assad government in Syria. Direct Israel–Iran exchanges have exposed the limits of proxy-based …
Read More »Iran Update, October 16, 2026
Key TakeawaysThe Iranian regime has reportedly found ways to ship a very limited and relatively inconsequential amount of petroleum product exports via maritime routes despite the US naval blockade. Iran’s ability to export energy products continues to be severely hampered by the US economic campaign, however.The Houthis are using imitative …
Read More »Is Iran losing control of the Strait of Hormuz?
As Iran and the US take tentative steps towards a deal to re-open the Strait of Hormuz, there may be signs that Tehran’s biggest source of leverage is being eroded. Iran has long viewed its ability to paralyse the strategic chokepoint as its own version of a nuclear bomb, a …
Read More »Spotlight on Iran and the Shiite Axis
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Read More »Iran Update, October 14, 2026
Key TakeawaysRecent waves of Iranian attacks on vessels in and near the Strait of Hormuz indicate that Iran retains the ability to effectively target vessels in the strait, which suggests that Iran has either overcome previous operational challenges or is adapting to such constraints through new tactics or capabilities.The Houthis …
Read More »Tehran’s Preparedness for Peace or Multi-Front Warfare
Amid ongoing military-political and economic pressure from the US and Israel, Iran is demonstrating full readiness for fierce resistance and a protracted multi-front war, while simultaneously keeping the door open for a diplomatic settlement on its own terms. US decision-makers have placed a multi-layered approach toward Tehran on their agenda, …
Read More »Décrypter les menaces : l’Iran et les options stratégiques des États-Unis
Les défis auxquels sont confrontés l’Iran et les États-Unis au lendemain de l’accord d’Islamabad n’ont pas diminué. Au contraire, ils ont créé les conditions propices à une campagne militaire américaine à haut risque contre les forces navales iraniennes et les installations tactiques de l’Iran dans toute la région. Ce processus …
Read More »Serious Discussions About Leaving the NPT: International Security and Iran’s Nuclear Future
Iranian officials have confirmed top-level discussions about the country’s potential exit from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). What does this mean for the Middle East and for the world? Essence of the MatterIran, as Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei noted at a briefing, continues, as …
Read More »Is Iran losing control of the Strait of Hormuz?
Analysis: Gulf states are shipping millions of barrels of oil through Hormuz, but that doesn’t change Iran’s ability to inflict pain on the global economy As Iran and the US take tentative steps towards a deal to re-open the Strait of Hormuz, there may be signs that Tehran’s biggest source …
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