Key Takeaways Iranian officials are simultaneously employing diplomatic outreach and military coercion to pressure regional states to support a new “regional security mechanism,” likely to advance Iran’s long-standing objective of expelling the United States from the Middle East. Iran is likely using this proposed regional security mechanism to encourage Gulf …
Read More »Between Peace and War: What the Iran-Trump Agreement Means for Russia
The current interim situation between peace and war suits Moscow quite well. On the one hand, continued instability in the Persian Gulf prevents oil prices from falling. On the other hand, the conflict is not escalating into a full-scale war that could threaten other Russian interests. The prospect of an …
Read More »‘Memorandum of Understanding’ between Washington and Tehran: What’s after 60 days?
Although the understanding limits the prospects for direct confrontation between Washington and Tehran in the short term, it does not necessarily consolidate the basic pillars of a stable regional order, but may even lead to a gradual erosion of the US deterrent policy, especially as it reinforces the impression of …
Read More »Beyond the Battlefield: Fallout from the Iran Conflict
Irrespective of whether a deal is reached to end the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, it seems likely that Tehran will continue to cultivate a network of proxy groups, including terrorist organizations, criminal entities, and so-called “disposable agents” both in the Middle East and abroad. Iran views its use of …
Read More »US airstrikes again hit Iran as Tehran strikes Bahrain and Kuwait, further imperiling interim deal
The U.S. military launched a second round of airstrikes Saturday targeting Iran at President Donald Trump’s direction as Tehran hit both Bahrain and Kuwait, underscoring rising tensions that threaten the interim deal between the two nations to stop the war. The attack on Kuwait early Sunday was the first since …
Read More »Iran’s ‘Deal’: What Happens After Trump?
The Iranian regime’s strategy is clear: survive the pressure of President Donald J. Trump’s second term by any means necessary, secure breathing room through negotiations, and position itself for a far more aggressive posture once his administration is over. Iranian Parliament Speaker and chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf — Tehran’s …
Read More »Iran Update Special Report, June 26, 2026
Key Takeaways Iran is using force in an attempt to maintain its control over the Strait of Hormuz in the immediate future. Iran is likely attempting to prevent vessels from using non-Iranian shipping channels with force in the immediate term as it continues negotiations with the Gulf Arab states to …
Read More »Iran’s economic catastrophe
On February 28, 2026, American and Israeli forces launched Operation Epic Fury. The country they targeted was already in economic crisis: inflation had topped 50%, the currency was in free fall, merchants had shuttered their shops in protest, a major private bank had just collapsed. When the bombs began to …
Read More »L’Iran et Oman conviennent de former un comité conjoint sur la future administration du détroit d’Ormuz
L’Iran et Oman ont convenu de créer un comité mixte chargé d’examiner la future administration du détroit d’Ormuz, notamment la gestion du trafic maritime, les services associés et les redevances applicables. Dans un communiqué conjoint publié ce mardi 23 juin, à la suite de la visite du président du Parlement …
Read More »Iran Update Special Report, June 23, 2026
Key Takeaways Iran is taking steps to establish a joint mechanism with Oman to try to exercise long-term authority over the Strait of Hormuz. Such a mechanism would enable Iran to regulate transit through the strait and decide to restrict passage at its discretion. Recent increased vessel traffic through the …
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