Latest Developments • Hezbollah Warns Israel Against a ‘War of Attrition’: Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem delivered a speech on November 6 in which he asserted that Israel should not rely on a “war of attrition.” Qassem — the successor to Hassan Nasrallah, who was assassinated by Israel in September — …
Read More »Iran Update, November 3, 2024
The Israeli Defense Minister emphasized that Iran is “pouring everything [it] can” into the West Bank, indicating that Iran will very likely attempt to pursue a different strategy when rebuilding Palestinian militias to fight Israel again.[1] Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said that Iran is looking for additional routes to …
Read More »Has MBS paved the way for Netanyahu to target Iran through a fictitious treaty compromising their oil deterrence?
Ever since Iran launched an unparalleled large-scale attack against Israel on 1 October, using a barrage of nearly 200 ballistic missiles, the Middle East has been holding its breath in anticipation of a swift and crushing Israeli retaliation. Iran said its long-awaited attack was in response to Israel’s assassinations of …
Read More »Naim Qassem’s inaugural speech as Hezbollah’s new secretary-general
One day after his surprise appointment as Hezbollah’s new secretary-general, Naim Qassem delivered his inaugural speech from that post—his fourth speech since Hassan Nasrallah’s assassination. Qassem’s latest speech was virtually identical in tone and content to his previous three speeches, seeking to justify Hezbollah’s war effort and the suffering it …
Read More »Growing Iranian Threat To Jordan’s Stability And Israel’s Security; For First Time, Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood Claims Responsibility For Terrorist Attack Against Israel
The security threat facing Israel from Jordan appears to be growing, with the ongoing and increasing efforts by Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) to destabilize the Jordanian kingdom in the service of Iran and to transform the country – entirely against its will – into a base for terrorist …
Read More »Iran Update, October 31, 2024
Israeli state-owned broadcaster Kan published a US-drafted ceasefire proposal to end the fighting in Lebanon.[1] The draft proposes that international mediators determine a date to begin the ceasefire and commence a 60-day “implementation period.” During this period, Lebanese Hezbollah would cease attacks against Israel and the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) …
Read More »Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 30, 2024
Western intelligence officials reportedly stated that North Korean troops are in an unspecified area in occupied Ukraine. CNN, citing two unspecified Western intelligence officials, reported on October 30 that a small number of North Korean personnel are in occupied Ukraine but did not specify their location — the first such …
Read More »Iran Update, October 30, 2024
Qassem hinted at a possible shift in Hezbollah policy that would allow a Lebanon ceasefire to be separated from Israeli operations in the Gaza Strip. The new secretary general was less absolute regarding a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip than Nasrallah had been before his death. Nasrallah had previously said …
Read More »Iran Update, October 29, 2024
The precise nature of the recent Israeli strikes into Iran has partially obscured the serious damage these strikes inflicted on critical Iranian defense and military infrastructure. These strikes could disrupt Iranian ballistic missile production and leave Iran more vulnerable to future strikes, however. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted precise …
Read More »IRAN’S CRIMINALS TATECRAFT – HOW TEHRAN WEAPONIZES ILLICIT MARKETS
Over the past decade, Iran’s regime has been involved in collaborations with criminal actors across the world, seeking to assassinate critics and adversaries, procure materials to advance its nuclear programme, circumvent international sanctions and money-laundering controls, and fund armed groups and terrorist organizations that have carried out horrific attacks. JR-Malley-Irans-critical-statecraft-How-Tehran-weaponizes-illicit-markets-GI-TOC-October-2024Download
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