President Donald Trump has established a reputation for the unpredictable. But his trip to China has displayed a different side of a U.S. leader with a penchant for putting pressure first in his international dealings. “We’re going to have a fantastic future together. Such respect for China, the job you’ve …
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May, 2026
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15 May
5 Traps for Trump and Xi
At Beijing’s Great Hall of the People, Xi Jinping put a question to Donald Trump, the answer to which has profound consequences not only for China and the U.S., but the whole world. “Can China and the United States overcome the Thucydides Trap and create a new paradigm of major …
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15 May
Iran-Backed Houthis Assist Resurgent Somali Pirates
The western section of the Indian Ocean, with its key trade routes and its maritime chokepoints, has faced no shortage of crises between disruptions caused by the Houthis in Yemen and their backers in the Islamic Republic of Iran. That situation has now been compounded by a returning Somali pirate …
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15 May
Why Putin will have been watching the Trump‑Xi summit nervously
The opening headlines from the summit between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping in Beijing signal an openness on the Chinese side towards stabilising relations with the US. In his opening remarks, the Chinese president noted that China and the US “should be partners not rivals”. But he warned Trump that …
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15 May
Iran Update Special Report, May 14, 2026
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and The Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute are publishing daily updates to provide analysis on the war with Iran. The updates focus on US and Israeli strikes on Iran and Iran and the Axis of Resistance’s response to …
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14 May
“Grand Israël” : comment Netanyahu & Trump enterrent vivant l’État juif
La course aux mirages bibliques et les accords tactiques de façade se traduisent pour Israël par une isolation internationale totale, une asphyxie économique et une menace réelle pour son existence. Les chiffres du mensonge : 19 850 km² de terres volées Sous les slogans patriotiques du “Grand Israël”, le Premier …
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14 May
Iran Update Special Report, May 12, 2026
Key Takeaways Iran’s consistent pursuit of international recognition of Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz reinforces ISW-CTP’s previous assessment that Iran views control of the waterway as its most important tool of deterrence against future US or allied military action, because such recognition would allow it to restrict activity …
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14 May
Could the Rise of the New People Party Reshape Russia’s Managed Political System?
Anger over online restrictions has led to a surge in support for the New People party, which has replaced the Communists as Russia’s second most popular political party. Russia’s in-system opposition—which criticizes the government while ultimately remaining loyal to President Vladimir Putin—has been largely forgotten amid the war in Ukraine. …
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14 May
The oil swan. How the UAE exit from OPEC will hit Russia
On May 1, the UAE withdrew from OPEC. The largest member of the cartel in his history left the alliance without warning partners. Behind this decision are two years of accumulated contradictions with Saudi Arabia – from the war in Yemen and Sudan to the personal rivalry of the two …
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