Recent Posts

The Trajectory of the Israel-Lebanon Front Remains Uncertain

Escalating exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah suggest that the Israel-Lebanon front still has the potential to devolve into all-out conflict, especially following yesterday’s assassination of the deputy Hamas chief, Salah al-Arouri, and five other Hamas members by a drone strike in the southern suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon. Israel insists that …

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Escalation on the Syria-Israel Front

Syria is emerging as a potentially significant new front as the Israel-Hamas war threatens to expand into a region-wide conflict. The regime of Syrian President Bashar Al Assad provides a permissive environment for Iran, Iran-backed militia fighters, and Palestinian militants to launch attacks on Israel, prompting an escalating Israeli response. …

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Why a Lebanon War Is Not Imminent

Several factors, including the need to avoid being diverted from Gaza, suggest that Israel benefits little from widening the conflict northwards. Predictions have increased that the daily exchanges of fire between Israel and Hezbollah across the Lebanese-Israeli border, which have been ongoing since the October 7 Hamas attack, may escalate …

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10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024

Can we stop things falling apart? 2024 begins with wars burning in Gaza, Sudan and Ukraine and peacemaking in crisis. Worldwide, diplomatic efforts to end fighting are failing. More leaders are pursuing their ends militarily. More believe they can get away with it. War has been on the rise since …

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