The potential upsides of implementing the Trump administration’s poorly conceived idea are negligible at best, while the downsides would be legion, including further damage to Middle East stability and American interests. From the Gaza Riviera to the promised annexation of Greenland to the alienation of India, to neutrality in Ukraine—and …
Read More »Moscow And The Middle East
No matter when and how the war in Ukraine ultimately ends, an aggressive Russia will remain a challenge for the United States and the broader West. In December 2025, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said as much in his speech before the Munich Security Conference. “We are Russia’s next target,” …
Read More »New Syria, Old Lebanon: Absence of the State
Any move by the United States to make good on Trump’s suggestion that Washington persuade Damascus to confront Hezbollah militarily would have catastrophic consequences. On June 16, 2026, during a meeting with Qatar’s ruling emir on the sidelines of the Group of 7 summit in France, U.S. President Donald Trump …
Read More »Europe Goes Its Own Way: Drifting From America, the Continent Is Rearming and Reordering Itself
Europeans have been humiliated, disparaged, and sidelined since U.S. President Donald Trump returned to office in 2025. Indeed, it is no exaggeration to say that Europe has become the president’s favorite punching bag. The continent is, his administration believes, militarily emaciated, economically irrelevant, politically unfit, and culturally doomed to civilizational …
Read More »Heartland vs. Rimland: The Battle Lines in the War for the Next Global Order
At first glance, today’s strategic map seems familiar. A bloc of land-based powers, clustered around the center of Eurasia, is challenging a liberal, maritime order headed by an offshore superpower. China and Russia, reinforced by Iran and North Korea and ringed by autocracies from Belarus to Myanmar, now occupy the …
Read More »The High Costs and Failed Ambitions of Trump’s War
Whether or not the memorandum of understanding signed by the United States and Iran on June 18 collapses or leads to a peace agreement between the two nations, it is important to take stock of the high costs and failed ambitions of the illegal war of aggression President Trump launched …
Read More »‘Memorandum of Understanding’ between Washington and Tehran: What’s after 60 days?
Although the understanding limits the prospects for direct confrontation between Washington and Tehran in the short term, it does not necessarily consolidate the basic pillars of a stable regional order, but may even lead to a gradual erosion of the US deterrent policy, especially as it reinforces the impression of …
Read More »India Flexes Muscles in Turkey’s Backyard: A New Front in the Middle East
India is expanding ties with Greece, Cyprus, Armenia, and Israel to counter Turkey’s growing regional influence and its partnership with Pakistan. By strengthening defense cooperation and strategic partnerships, New Delhi is increasing its footprint in the Middle East and Eastern Mediterranean. As a result, the India–Turkey rivalry has the potential …
Read More »War on Iran: Are Washington and Tel Aviv pursuing a common objective?
Real drivers behind new crisis escalation by US, Israel. Three Scenarios for Interpreting Israel’s Recent Aggression in the Region Perhaps the most significant outcome of recent developments is neither the outbreak of a full-scale war nor the collapse of negotiations. The region has instead entered what may be described as …
Read More »What is going on in Cyprus: Agreement for deployment of French troops and the presence of the US and Israel
Interview with Tahsin Ertuğruloğlu, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) The Greek Cypriot Administration of Southern Cyprus (GCASC) and France have signed the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA). The agreement, which provides a legal framework for the deployment of French troops on the island and …
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