Middle Orient

Key Takeaways:After Ali Al-Zaidi’s July 14 White House visit, deals cited at ~$60bn (energy, tech, health) as U.S. troops aim to leave Iraq by Sept. 30. Trump framed job-and-oil gains; Washington is backing a mothballed 850 km Kirkuk–Baniyas line (1952; ~300,000 b/d until 1982; wrecked in 2003) that Tom Barrack …

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Analysis: Israel wants a weak Syria; Turkey wants a stable one. Their competing ambitions are creating a dangerous new faultline for Damascus to manage Damascus – Syria’s Foreign Minister Asaad Al-Shaibani met with Israel’s Mossad chief Roman Gofman in Jordan on 23 August following days of escalating tensions that resulted …

Pourquoi le goulot d’étranglement pétrolier le plus célèbre au monde ne concerne pas que le pétrole.Introduction : l’erreur Nous appelons le détroit d’Ormuz un goulot d’étranglement pétrolier parce que le pétrole est la matière première la plus visible. Quand une crise émerge dans les eaux entre l’Iran et Oman, la …

Le rapprochement entre la Turquie, le Qatar et le Pakistan ne constitue pas, contrairement à ce qu’une lecture rapide pourrait laisser croire, un «axe des Frères musulmans». La réalité est plus complexe et, pour cette raison même, beaucoup plus intéressante : derrière trois États aux histoires, aux institutions et aux …

The real question, however, is: Unity with whom, and against whom? Why is Hamas being treated as a legitimate political organization rather than a terrorist group that needs to be disarmed, dismantled, and removed from power? Egypt, a key ally of the United States, should be asking these questions. Instead, …

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Israel’s conduct in Syria since the fall of Assad is commonly described as a “strategy,” or at least a “policy.” It is neither. It is a disorganised product of several impulses, some of them in tension with one another: the trauma of October 7th, a near-total ignorance about the group …

A view through the lens of systems theory Assad is gone and the Geneva process is history. Yet the international governance system that failed Syria for more than a decade has largely survived by adapting itself to a new diplomatic script while leaving its underlying incentive structures intact. Beneath the …

Against the backdrop of the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz due to the Iran–US conflict, Turkey and Iraq have agreed to expand the pipeline network, which allows Baghdad to diversify its oil exports and Ankara to strengthen its position as an indispensable energy hub in the region. As the …