Middle Orient

On 14 April 2026, Giorgia Meloni delivered a decision that instantly disrupted the post-Cold War assumption of automatic alignment within the Western security architecture. A Sovereign Break in the Western Security Chain The move was not symbolic. It was structural. The sequence of events — escalation in Lebanon, suspension of …

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If Washington cannot adapt to the ongoing transformations of a multipolar world, its superiority will become a liability. The Iran war is confronting the Middle East and the world with dramatic transformations. War realities are reshaping global supply chains and testing long-held alliances. They are also showing the limits of …

Key Takeaways Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei declared on April 30 that Iran will retain control over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and maintain its nuclear and missile capabilities, which supports ISW-CTP’s assessment that the Iranian regime is unlikely to make meaningful concessions in its next proposal to the United …

America Should End the War but Keep Up the Pressure When U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States was at war with Iran, he called on the country’s people to rise in revolt. “When we are finished, take over your government,” Trump said on February 28. “This will …

Consensus remains that oil market management is needed to avoid severe boom-bust cycles The UAE’s decision this week to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries came as a surprise to many, although the move had been years in the making. What is different now is the context in …

Key Takeaways Iran is unlikely to make meaningful concessions in its next proposal to the United States, which is expected in the next several days. Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Major General Ahmad Vahidi, whose hardline position on negotiations the regime has adopted, appears unwilling to concede on Iranian control …

Hier, les Émirats arabes unis (EAU) ont annoncé leur intention de quitter l’Organisation des pays exportateurs de pétrole (OPEP). Il s’agit d’une rupture qui aura probablement de graves conséquences pour la prospérité des EAU. Il s’agit d’une décision à long terme qui était attendue depuis longtemps et qui est indépendante …

Despite Trump’s repeated claims that Iran is beginning to capitulate, Tehran believes it has the three Ms on its side: “munitions, markets, and the midterms.” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has been on a strategic tour to prepare for two dramatically different paths that could unfold in the coming days: …

Tehran widens diplomacy to regional and global players while indirect US talks remain uncertain. Islamabad, Pakistan – Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has discussed with regional interlocutors a proposal aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz but deferring talks with the US on Tehran’s nuclear programme for later, during a …