Recent Posts

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 27, 2025

The Kremlin continues to downplay the social and economic costs of Russia’s war in Ukraine and inflated military spending. Russian President Vladimir Putin told journalists on June 27, following the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) summit in Minsk, that sanctions cannot hurt Russia’s economy and that Russia’s economic indicators are “satisfactory.”[1] …

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Iran Update, June 27, 2025

US and Israeli strikes severely set back Iran’s enrichment capabilities, but Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile poses a long-term threat. The United States dropped twelve 30,000lb GBU-57 bunker buster bombs on Fordow, directly targeted points above the centrifuge cascade hall, and likely destroyed all six IR-1 and seven IR-6 cascades that …

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Spotlight on Iran and the Shiite Axis (June 25-18 , 2025)

E_127_25Download Prior to the ceasefire between Iran and Israel, which was announced on June 24, 2025, seniorofficials in the Iranian administration and the security-military leadership continued tothreaten harsh responses to Israel’s ongoing attacks on Iran and the American attack on threenuclear facilities in Iran. The officials called the attacks a …

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A Few Lessons from Iran-Israel War!

Paradoxically, President Donald Trump appears to have secured an end or perhaps a pause to the 12-day Iran-Israel war with a fragile ceasefire but there is no guarantee that it will not resume again. Even Trump isn’t confident about the “ceasefire” he is taking credit for. Interestingly, notwithstanding the claims …

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Regional Terrorism Trends Before and After October 7

Abstract: The October 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel triggered a rapid escalation in regional conflict and reshaped the operational landscape of Iran-backed violent non-state actors. Using data from the Global Terrorism Trends and Analysis Center’s GRID database, this article compares patterns of terrorist violence in the Middle East one …

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