Recent Posts

Trump may get Russia and Ukraine to the table. Then what?

American statesmanship has been largely dormant since the Cold War. The new White House must be serious about reviving it. Russia’s dismissive response to possible provisions of a Trump settlement plan floated in Western media underscores how difficult the path to peace in Ukraine will be. It also highlights one …

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Trends in Terrorism: What’s on the Horizon in 2025?

Sitting down to write my annual assessment on trends in terrorism in early 2025, I am struggling more than usual, fresh off the horrors of an Islamic State (ISIS)-inspired terrorist attack in New Orleans that killed fourteen people and injured dozens more. It is always a challenge to look beyond …

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 11, 2025

Ukrainian forces reportedly captured the first North Korean prisoners of war (POWs) in Kursk Oblast. Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) stated on January 11 that elements of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured a North Korean soldier in Kursk Oblast on January 9 and that Ukrainian Airborne Assault Forces recently …

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Iran Update, January 11, 2025

The Hayat Tahrir al Sham (HTS)-led Syrian interim government announced that it thwarted an attempted Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) attack on a prominent Shia shrine outside Damascus. The Syrian Interior Ministry announced on January 11 the arrest of ISIS members who were planning a suicide bombing attack …

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Pourquoi les Houthis, contrairement aux autres, n’ont-ils pas peur d’Israël et qu’est-ce que la Russie a à voir là-dedans ?

Au cours de l’année écoulée, Israël a affaibli la capacité de combat de ses principaux opposants, notamment l’organisation libanaise du Hezbollah et le Hamas palestinien, et a également repoussé les radicaux syriens. Dans l’ensemble, il a placé le monde musulman tout entier dans une certaine position et lui dicte sa …

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Un avertissement à Israël et aux États-Unis : Le Yémen n’est pas la Syrie

Le Yémen, longtemps considéré comme une victime d’une agression extérieure, est en train de réécrire les règles d’engagement au Moyen-Orient. En ciblant Israël et les marines américaine et britannique avec une précision sans faille, Ansarullah a acculé ses adversaires à une situation ingagnable. Depuis le lancement de l’opération «Déluge d’Al-Aqsa» …

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Tehran’s triad: propaganda, proxies, and preparedness

The regime in Tehran finds itself increasingly besieged by challenges, ranging from the faltering influence of its regional proxies to the prospect of an Israeli strike on its nuclear facilities, potentially bolstered by US support. In response, the Islamic Republic has devised a three-pronged strategy: bolstering morale through a reinvigorated …

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