Recent Posts

What the U.S. Election Means for Ukraine

A Trump Win Would Cause a Crisis for Kyiv—but Wouldn’t Guarantee Defeat Having a strategy—a theory of victory—is essential to winning a war. In 2022, Russia’s initial plan to capture Kyiv and decapitate Ukraine’s leadership failed, and its current approach of grinding down Ukraine’s resistance through attritional war is just …

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Hezbollah Is in a Bind

As the conflict with Israel escalates, the path forward for the party is one fraught with obstacles. As Hezbollah’s conflict with Israel escalates, the party is in a bind. Its capacity to maintain its deterrence capacity vis-a-vis Israel has been severely constrained by its unwillingness to provoke an all-out war …

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