While Washington searches for ways to weaken Iran’s murderous rulers, our supposed NATO ally Turkey is working overtime to keep the mullahs alive — and in power. This week’s diplomatic tug-of-war over US-Iran negotiations is a win for Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey’s Islamist strongman, who has led a cynical campaign …
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The SDF prepares to hand over Qamishli Airport to the government
Developments in al-Hasakah governorate (northeastern Syria) are accelerating on the ground and politically, as the agreement signed between the Syrian government and the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) on 30 January begins to take shape in parallel with French and international diplomacy that is reshaping the influence map in the area. …
Read More »Syria is run by the mentality of Jabhat al-Nusra and not by the state
It seems that the new authority in Syria has not yet succeeded in moving from a faction mentality to a state mentality. This problem is not an administrative detail, but a structural issue that touches the essence of state-building and its future. The state is not governed by loyalty relations, …
Read More »Trump tergiverse pour trouver une faille exploitable dans la position ferme de l’Iran
«L’establishment politique et sécuritaire israélien», écrit Anna Barsky dans Ma’ariv, «surveille de près la situation dynamique dans l’arène américano-iranienne. Cependant, il n’y a pas de consensus … sur la direction dans laquelle Trump se dirige ; ni [même] si les États-Unis sont proches d’une décision – et si oui, quelle …
Read More »États-Unis-Iran : leçons d’une guerre impossible
Lecture géostratégique et enseignements importants pour l’AES.I. La démonstration de force américaine : puissance affichée, vulnérabilités réelles Les États-Unis peuvent déployer une force écrasante (porte-avion, bombardiers B‑2, chasseurs F‑35/F‑22, milliers de soldats). Mais la puissance ne garantit ni la victoire stratégique ni la destruction d’un État préparé. Une armada impressionne …
Read More »L’Europe après l’érosion de l’OTAN – un projet d’ordre stratégique
Le débat sur la politique de sécurité en Europe a atteint un stade nouveau. Avec la contribution «If NATO Dies, Long Live NEATO» issus du Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), une esquisse cohérente d’un ordre de sécurité post-guerre pour l’ordre euro-atlantique est proposée pour la première fois. Non comme …
Read More »Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 4, 2026
Toplines US, Ukrainian, and Russian delegations continued trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE) on February 4. Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov stated on February 4 that the trilateral talks were “meaningful and productive” and that the parties continued to work in separate groups …
Read More »Iran Update, February 4, 2026
Toplines Iran and the United States are expected to hold talks in Oman on February 6, despite the brief cancellation of the meeting on February 4.[1] Iran continues to show inflexibility toward addressing US demands, which reduces the likelihood that Iran and the United States will be able to reach …
Read More »Unifying Syria Without Reigniting War
Full Kurdish integration in Syria is one of the most important projects in the Middle East, but Washington must ensure it is accomplished without further violence, and without blowing the activities of various foreign players out of proportion. Following Hamas’ attack on Israel on 7 October 2023, Syria has become …
Read More »Execution of Saif al-Islam Gaddafi upends Libya’s fragile power balance
The death of the ICC-wanted heir removes a major obstacle to the country’s stalled elections, even as his supporters decry a ‘treacherous’ end for the man who once promised reform – and later, ‘rivers of blood’. Saif al-Islam Gaddafi, the son of Libya’s late longtime ruler, Muammar Gaddafi, was killed …
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