Recent Posts

How the Iran War Divided NATO

Donald Trump’s lashing out at NATO allies over the Iran War is as dangerous as it is unjustified.In the midst of US involvement in a war against Iran, President Donald Trump has decided to double down on previous public expressions of disregard and distrust toward NATO. Trump has threatened to …

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Is Russia Losing Chechnya?

Russia’s strained wartime budget and the prospect of Ramzan Kadyrov’s succession make Chechnya’s future in Russia an open question. As if Russian President Vladimir Putin doesn’t have enough problems. The war with Ukraine is going badly, the consumer economy is in recession, and Ukrainian drones are targeting Russia’s capacity to …

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 17, 2026

Toplines Officials in Russian regions that the Kremlin has historically sought to shield from the effects of the war in Ukraine are beginning to acknowledge the impacts of Ukrainian long-range drone strikes in the Russian rear. Leningrad Oblast Governor Alexander Drozdenko told the Leningrad Oblast regional assembly on April 15 …

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Iran Update Special Report, April 17, 2026

Key Takeaways The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), which is the Iranian entity that has disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz during the war, outlined specific conditions on April 17 for vessels to transit the strait that amount to Iran retaining control over maritime traffic through the strait. These …

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